a few days after announcing that the Valencian regional
government would be submitting a request to move the
Comunidad Valenciana to Phase 2 of the state de-escalation
plan next Monday 25th, Health Minister Ana Barceló
revealed that this would not actually be the case during
the daily health crisis press conference yesterday evening,
adopting a policy for "prudence and responsibility" a
few hours after the Government's Health Minister Salvador
Illa expressed his own concerns about whether the Valencian
region was ready.
region has moved into Phase 1 in stages with some territories
not doing so until this week. Consequently it has led
to the Regional health Ministry re-evaluating the actual
situation across the Comunidad and deciding that another
seven days was needed to ensure that the autonomous
community can move to Phase 2 under the right conditions.
Whilst the general overall trend continues to be positive,
over the past few days, there has been a slight increase
in the virus Rt* - from 0,66 to 0,88 - whilst five neighbouring
town in La Ribera have seen confirmed cases triple from
13 to 40 almost overnight although this situation there is
now under control. Therefore, it's likely that the Comunidad
Valenciana won't now move into Phase 2 until Monday
explained that: "The most important thing is to
protect the health of the Valencian people" adding
that the Ministry wants to progress through the de-escalation
phases in a calm and unified manner: "We want to
leave [Phase 1] together ... with responsibility".
Hermelinda Vavaclocha, deputy directer-general of Epidemiology,
pointed out that the situation had changed since the
weekend and that "we must ensure that the lack
of confinement doesn't leave to further transmission
[of the disease]" adding that "we can't afford
to go back".
is the virus transmission rate, indicating how many
other people will be infected from a single infected person.
Back on March 14th, the Rt rate in the Comunidad Valenciana
was 7,69; infections rose from 110 to 430 in one day.
If it remains below 1, then the epidemic should eventually
die out. Above 1, it will grow and spread across the
population. The ultimate aim is to reach zero. However,
the danger is always that the population lets its guard
down as they consider the pandemic to have been overcome,
sparking the dreaded second wave of infections.
The most effective way to ensure that the Rt remains
below 1 and continues to head towards zero is to respect
Date: Wednesday 20th May 2020